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A new poll shows the former president as the winner with a 27-point lead over the current head of state.
With 56 percent of the valid votes, if the elections were held today, former president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva would win the Brazilian presidency in the first round, according to an IPEC poll released on Tuesday.
According to the IPEC poll in two scenarios and taking into account only valid votes, the former president (2003-2010) has 56 percent of the electoral preference, so he would not need a runoff to reach the Planalto Palace in 2022.
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According to the electoral law of the South American country, if none of the candidates obtains 50 percent plus one of the votes in the first round, the first two will dispute the position in a second round.
Taking into account blank, null and undecided voters, and in a first scenario, which includes 12 presidential candidates, Lula Da Silva obtains 48 percent of the vote intention, 27 points ahead of the Brazilian head of state, Jair Bolsonaro (with 21 percent of the preference).
Lula has over twice the support of Bolsonaro in the first round of the 2022 election says new poll. https://t.co/JLfRDSk43R
— Benjamin Fogel (@BenjaminFogel) December 16, 2021
In a second scenario, which includes five presidential pre-candidates, the former Brazilian governor and leader of the Workers' Party (PT) reaches 49 percent of the electoral preference and Bolsonaro 22 percent.
In third place comes former judge Sergio Moro (with 6 and 8 percent of the vote intention, respectively).
The IPEC survey, which consulted 2,002 citizens in 144 municipalities, was conducted from December 9 to 13. The confidence level is 95 percent and the margin of error is 2 points plus/minus.
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