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News > Ecuador

Ecuador: Arauz Leads Majority of Polls for February 7 Elections

  • Andrés Arauz, Ecuador's leftist presidential candidate and rising star of former president Rafael Correa, has a good chance to win according to recent polls, and would take office at age 35.

    Andrés Arauz, Ecuador's leftist presidential candidate and rising star of former president Rafael Correa, has a good chance to win according to recent polls, and would take office at age 35. | Photo: Twitter/@PopulismUpdates

Published 27 January 2021
Opinion

Of the 11 polls conducted so far in January, ten give first place to UNES's presidential candidate. 

The leftist candidate of the political alliance Union for Hope (UNES), Andres Arauz, leads the voting intention for the elections to the Presidency of Ecuador, scheduled for this February 7, according to a survey conducted by the well-known Ecuadorean analyst Omar Maluk.

According to the study, whose results were released on Wednesday, Arauz maintains the lead with 39.2 percent of valid votes, while in second and third place are the representatives of the CREO-PSC alliance, Guillermo Lasso (21.8 percent), and the candidate of the Pachakutik movement, Yaku Perez (14.4 percent) respectively.

RELATED:

Andres Arauz Favorite to Become Ecuador's Next President

With just 11 days to the general elections of that South American nation, Arauz "would be on the verge of winning in the first round and with a wide majority," Maluk valued in declarations to a local television station.

The expert added that the provinces of Manabí, Esmeraldas, and Los Ríos are the strongest for the followers of former president Rafael Correa, who also enjoys broad support in the most depressed areas of the province of Guayas.

Through the social network Twitter, Maluk showed comparative results of the 11 polls conducted so far in January, of which ten place Arauz in the first place.

"#IMPORTANT: According to a poll conducted by @omarmaluk, authorized by the @cnegobec, the percentage of votes in #Elecciones2021Ec would be like this. - Andrés Arauz 39,2%.- Guillermo Lasso 21.8% - Yaku Pérez 14.4%."

Only the pollster CEDATOS places Guillermo Lasso in first place with 24 percent of voting intentions. The rest of the polls place him below 30 percent.

Polls point, however, that neither (Arauz and Lasso) will win with sufficient margin, so a second round will have to be held in April.

To avoid going to a second round on April 11, one of the two candidates has to reach at least 40% and, at the same time, have a difference of 10% with the second. None of the other 16 candidates, according to the last polls of January by Cedatos, Market, and Pulso Ciudadano, is even close.

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