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Inflation is expected to reach an average of 8.9 percent in 2023, and combined with the rapidly increasing interest rates and the weakened demand in the rest of the world, this is expected to lead to GDP shrinking by 0.7 percent next year -- a downward adjustment from the previous forecast.
Sweden will enter a recession next year that is expected to last until 2025, the government said here on Thursday.
"The Swedish economy and households will be under pressure in the coming years," Finance Minister Elisabeth Svantesson said when she presented the economic forecast at a press conference.
"The recession is expected to be more prolonged than forecast in the Budget Bill, and it does not appear that it will hit bottom until 2024," Svantesson said.
Inflation measured by the consumer price index (CPI) is expected to reach an average of 8.9 percent in 2023, and combined with the rapidly increasing interest rates and the weakened demand in the rest of the world this is expected to lead to gross domestic product (GDP) shrinking by 0.7 percent in 2023 -- a downward adjustment from the previous forecast.
Unemployment is expected to grow to 7.8 percent in 2023 and 8.2 percent in 2024. Both figures are higher than in the previous forecast.
"In the current situation, it is important that fiscal policy be carefully considered. The worst-case scenario for households and businesses already facing financial difficulty would be a further increase in inflation. The government's budget for next year has undergone cuts aimed at combating inflation, while providing room to act should the economic downturn be worse than expected," Svantesson said.