A survey conducted by the polling firm MDA Institute, commissioned by the National Transport Confederation, whose results were released Sunday, revealed new data on the support for two top candidates in Brazilian elections Fernando Haddad of the leftist Workers Party (PT), and Jair Bolsonaro of the far-right Partido Social Liberal (PSL).
The Brazilian general elections, whose first round will take place on Oct. 7, will see voters deciding on the president, vice president, 27 governors, 54 seats in the Senate and 513 in the Chamber of Deputies.
The poll revealed that Haddad grew three points in relation to the last poll and currently has the support of 25 percent of the electorate while Bolsonaro remained at 28.2 percent.
The other candidates, respectively, have the following percentage of support from voters: Ciro Gomes of the Labor Democratic Party is at 9.4 percent, Geraldo Alckmin of the Brazilian Social Democratic Party is at fourth position with 7.3 percent, and Marina Silva of the Network of Sustainability has the support of 2.6 percent electorates.
The survey also revealed that Bolsonaro is the most rejected presidential candidate with 55.7 percent of voters are against him, followed by Alckmin at 52.8 percent, Haddad with 48.3 percent, and Gomes with 37.1 percent.
The study also anticipated several scenarios for a second-round finding that the winner will need 42.7 percent votes against 37.3 percent of votes for their opponent. Bolsonaro will lose in a second round if he faces off against Haddad or Gomes, with both of them projected to win with 42.7 percent of votes.
The survey interviewed 2,002 voters in the upcoming elections during, in which 80 percent of the electorate has already decided their favorite candidate. Among the undecided, 19.3 percent are considering the possibility of voting for Haddad followed by 18.7 percent for Gomes, 17.5 percent for Bolsonaro, and 13.3 for Alckmin.
The Brazilian elections are witnessing new trends with various dynamics coming into play. The rise of Haddad’s supporters in a few short weeks is groundbreaking. In the past week, Brazil also saw a surge of protests by women who are rejecting Bolsonaro over his sexism and fascism. The movement #NotHim gained worldwide attention.
This election is also seeing an increase in Black female candidates after the murder of Marielle Franco, a black female councilor. Her public assassination in March fuelled a discourse on racial and gender representation among elected representatives. The current Black female candidates are citing Franco as their inspirations to contest in the polls and often campaigning with the slogan “Marielle presente (present)”.
The LGBT community is also seeing an increase in their representation as 53 transgender candidates are running for office as opposed to only five in the previous elections.