Six months before the first round, leftist Senator Iván Cepeda is consolidating his position as the frontrunner in Colombia’s presidential elections to be held in May 2026.

According to the most recent poll by the firm Invamer, the candidate for the Historical Pact has surpassed 30 percent of voting intentions for the first time, distancing himself from the other presidential candidates.

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The study, conducted between November 15 and 27 with 3,800 surveys in 148 municipalities, shows Cepeda in the lead with 31.9 percent among citizens who declared their intention to vote.

This result not only reinforces his lead but also confirms a pattern observed in the only two public polls released since the controversial ban on surveys was lifted in November.

The order of the top three remains the same: in second place is the far-right candidate Abelardo de la Espriella, with 18.2 percent, and in third is the centrist Sergio Fajardo, former mayor of Medellín, with 8.5 percent.

Following the top three, the list is completed by Miguel Uribe Londoño (4.2 percent), Claudia López (4.1 percent), Vicky Dávila (3.7 percent), Juan Carlos Pinzón (2.9 percent), and Germán Vargas Lleras (2.1 percent). 4.5 percent of those surveyed opted for a blank ballot.

If a runoff election were held for the Colombian presidency, Iván Cepeda would obtain 59.1 percent of the vote compared to Abelardo de la Espriella’s 36.2 percent.

When asked if they would vote for a candidate who supports the government of Gustavo Petro, 50.2 percent of citizens answered favorably.

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