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News > Latin America

Brazil: Vox Populi Poll Gives Haddad Lead in Presidential Race

  • Brazilian presidential candidate Fernando Haddad talks to students during a campaign rally.

    Brazilian presidential candidate Fernando Haddad talks to students during a campaign rally. | Photo: EFE

Published 13 September 2018

The Vox Populi and Unified Workers' Union poll surveyed 2,000 voters in 121 municipalities between Sept. 7 and 11.

A recent round of polling conducted by Vox Populi and the Unified Workers Union (CUT) has given Fernando Haddad a lead in the presidential race ahead of October's general election. According to the poll, Haddad, the candidate for the Workers' Party, holds 22 percent support among likely voters, with his main rival for the presidency, Jair Bolsonaro, of the Social Liberal Party holding 18 percent of voter support.

Brazil: Lula, Workers' Party Hand Over Presidential Candidacy to Fernando Haddad

The poll, which was released Thursday, surveyed 2,000 voters in 121 municipalities between Sept. 7 and 11 and has a margin of error of +/-2.2 percentage points.

Haddad's name was presented to voters as the candidate supported by former Brazilian president Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, who was the Workers' Party's previous candidate.

Vox Populi/CUT also conducted simulations of likely second-round scenarios in the poll. According to the poll, both Ciro Gomes, of the Democratic Labour Party, would defeat Bolsonaro with between 24 - 36 percent or 22 - 32 percent respectively. However, Bolsonaro would defeat Geraldo Alckmin, of the Brazilian Social Democracy Party by 25 to 18 percent. Marina Silva, of the Sustainability Party and Bolsonaro would tie at between 24 to 26 percent.

The latest Parana Research poll, however, shows Bolsonaro with the lead in the presidential election at 26.6 percent. Haddad comes in at second place at 8.3 percent. While another poll conducted by Datafolha puts Bolsonaro in the lead with 24 percent, giving former Ceara state Governor Gomes 13 percent and Haddad 9 percent. Da Silva’s support was at 11 percent in this poll.

Lula handed over his presidential candidacy to his running mate, Haddad, at a PT event in front of the prison in which the former president has been held since April over a controversial corruption conviction. 

The Workers Party's national executive committee had decided that Haddad would be its presidential candidate in an Oct. 7 vote, said committee member and Minas Gerais state Governor Fernando Pimentel. Lula's candidacy was rejected by the country's Supreme Electoral Court on the basis of having a conviction, upheld on the first appeal, and which, in turn, bars him from running for public office according to Brazilian law.

Many legal experts believe, in accordance with Brazil's constitution, that Lula, who has easily led all presidential election polls, shouldn't have been prevented from participating in the elections until all of his legal appeals have been exhausted.

During an event with public university students in Sao Paulo Wednesday, Haddad said Brazil's mainstream media apparatus is frightened "because I'm not just me — Lula is a project of millions of people."

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